Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-11.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 16%, and $2.3K in liquidity.
Probability
16%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2.3K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
16%
Change
-0.5%
High
16.5%
Low
16%
Spurs moved from 16.5% to 16% over the last week, trading between 16% and 16.5%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
2 points
This market is about whether the Spurs can beat the Knicks by 12 points or more in the June 8 NBA game. Because the line is set at Spurs -11.5, the outcome turns on the final margin, not just who wins. That makes it a useful page to watch if you care about the spread, late lineup news, or a game that could end up close to the number.
The title, "Spread: Spurs (-11.5)," means the Spurs need to win by at least 12 points for the market to resolve to Spurs. If New York wins, or if San Antonio wins by 11 points or fewer, the market resolves to Knicks; a tie also counts as Knicks under the rules. The game is scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET, and the market remains open if the game is postponed until the game is actually completed.
The uncertainty here is not about whether these are NBA teams, but about whether one team can cover a fairly large spread in a single game. A line of -11.5 implies the market expects a meaningful gap, yet NBA games can swing on rest, injuries, foul trouble, bench production, or an unexpected scoring run that narrows the margin. Readers following this page are really watching whether the final score lands above or below that 11.5-point threshold.
The biggest game-specific drivers are injury reports, confirmed starters, minutes restrictions, and any late change to the active roster for either team. If the Spurs are expected to play their normal rotation and the Knicks are missing key scorers or defenders, the Spurs side becomes easier to justify; if the Knicks are healthier than expected or the Spurs rest core players, the spread becomes harder to cover. Because the settlement depends on the final margin, even a one-possession game late can matter a lot for how the market moves.
The current market price implies roughly a 16% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market resolves, check the official final score and make sure the game was completed under NBA scoring rules. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the makeup game is played; if it is canceled entirely with no makeup, the market resolves 50-50. The main thing to verify is the final margin after any overtime, since that is what decides whether Spurs -11.5 cashes or not.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-11.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 16%, and $2.3K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Spurs
16%
Knicks
84%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 12 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 16%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/6/2026
View market
