Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-12.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 14%, and $3.3K in liquidity.
Probability
14%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$3.3K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
13.5%
Change
-0.5%
High
50%
Low
13.5%
Spurs moved from 14% to 13.5% over the last 6 hours, trading between 13.5% and 50%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
14 points
This market asks whether the Spurs will cover a -12.5 spread in their June 8 NBA game against the Knicks. In plain terms, Spurs supporters need a win by 13 points or more for the market to settle to Spurs; any other result goes to Knicks. Because point spreads can swing on lineup news, rest, and game flow, this is the kind of market that can move quickly before tip-off.
The title, "Spread: Spurs (-12.5)," refers to a standard NBA point spread: San Antonio must win by at least 13 points to cash the Spurs side. The game is scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET, and the market resolves based on the final margin in that matchup with the Knicks. If the game ends tied, the rules still resolve to Knicks, and if the game is postponed it stays open until the game is played.
This market is about whether the Spurs can win by a wide enough margin, not just whether they win outright. That matters because a double-digit spread leaves room for a close victory to still count as a loss for the Spurs side, so readers are really judging the expected strength gap between the teams on that specific night. The uncertainty comes from how a single NBA game can change based on who is active, how hard each team plays late, and whether the pace stays high enough for a margin that large.
Pre-game injury reports, late scratches, starting lineup changes, and rest decisions are the biggest event-specific drivers for a spread like this. If key Spurs players are confirmed in or out, or if the Knicks are missing important rotation pieces, that can change whether a 13-point win looks realistic. The line can also react to changes in the expected game script, such as a slower tempo, heavy minutes restrictions, or a mismatch that makes a blowout more or less likely.
The current market price implies roughly a 14% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market resolves, readers should verify the official game final score and margin, since the Spurs must win by 13 or more points for the Spurs outcome. It is also worth checking whether the game is delayed, postponed, or canceled, because the rules treat those cases differently and a canceled game would settle 50-50. Any ambiguity around the scheduled June 8 tip time should be resolved by the official NBA game listing and final box score, not by unofficial summaries.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-12.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 14%, and $3.3K in liquidity.
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Spurs
13.5%
Knicks
86.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 13 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 14%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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