Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-14.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 11%, and $3.3K in liquidity.
Probability
11%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$3.3K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
11%
Change
-0.5%
High
11.5%
Low
11%
Spurs moved from 11.5% to 11% over the last week, trading between 11% and 11.5%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
2 points
This market asks whether the Spurs can win their June 8 NBA game by at least 15 points, which is a much tougher result than simply winning outright. Because the line is set at Spurs -14.5, the key question is not who wins, but whether San Antonio can create a large enough margin to cover that spread.
The market resolves to "Spurs" if the Spurs beat the Knicks by 15 points or more in the upcoming NBA game scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. If the Spurs win by 14 points or fewer, the Knicks win, or the game is tied, the market resolves to "Knicks." The market stays open if the game is postponed until it is completed, and if the game is canceled with no makeup, it resolves 50-50.
Point spreads are about margin, not just final winners, so a team can play well and still fail to cover a big number like -14.5. This specific matchup matters because the market is testing whether the Spurs are expected to dominate the Knicks by a wide enough gap, which depends on team strength, available players, and how the game script develops.
The biggest movers are usually lineup and injury updates, especially if either team is missing a primary scorer, starting guard, or rim protector. Late changes to the expected rotation, rest decisions, or news that one team is treating the game differently than expected can quickly shift how plausible a 15-point margin looks. Because the spread is large, early scoring runs, foul trouble, or an unexpectedly close first half can also change how traders think about cover odds.
The current market price implies roughly a 11% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Watch the official NBA game status, tip-off time, and final box score, since settlement depends on the actual margin of victory after the game is completed. If the game is delayed or postponed, the market remains open until there is a completed result; if it is canceled with no makeup, it settles 50-50 under the rules provided. The main ambiguity to check is whether the game is officially completed and whether the final margin is 15 points or more in favor of the Spurs.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-14.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 11%, and $3.3K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Spurs
11%
Knicks
89%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 15 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 11%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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