Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-15.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, and $2.2K in liquidity.
Probability
10%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2.2K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
9.5%
Change
-0.5%
High
10%
Low
9%
Spurs moved from 10% to 9.5% over the last 6 hours, trading between 9% and 10%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
10 points
This market is asking whether the Spurs will win their upcoming NBA game by at least 16 points, based on the listed spread of Spurs -15.5. Because the line is so large, the key question is not just who wins, but whether San Antonio can create a blowout margin that clears that exact number.
The event is the NBA game scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET, with settlement tied to the final score of that game. The market resolves to "Spurs" only if the Spurs win by 16 points or more; any smaller Spurs win, any Knicks win, or a tie all resolve to "Knicks." If the game is postponed, it stays open until the game is played; if it is canceled with no make-up, it resolves 50-50.
Point-spread markets like this one focus on the margin of victory, which can be much harder to gauge than simply picking a winner. A line of -15.5 implies a very lopsided outcome is being tested, so readers are really asking whether the Spurs are strong enough on that night to cover a big number against the Knicks.
The biggest price movers are lineup news, late scratches, and any indication that a key scorer or defender will miss the game. Because the spread is wide, changes to rotation quality, rest, or playoff-style urgency can matter a lot, as can any signal that the matchup is likely to be close rather than one-sided. Once the game starts, an early run, foul trouble, or a rapidly growing lead can also shift expectations about whether San Antonio can finish above 15.5 points.
The current market price implies roughly a 10% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market resolves, the most important thing to verify is the official final score and whether the game was completed under NBA rules. Readers should also check for postponement or cancellation language, since that changes the settlement path described in the rules. If the final margin is 15 points or fewer, or if the game ends tied, the market resolves to Knicks under these rules; only a Spurs win by 16 or more cashes Spurs.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-15.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, and $2.2K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Spurs
9.5%
Knicks
90.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 16 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 10%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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