Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-16.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 9%, and $6.4K in liquidity.
Probability
9%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$6.4K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
91%
Change
0%
High
91%
Low
91%
Knicks moved from 91% to 91% over the last hour, trading between 91% and 91%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market asks whether the San Antonio Spurs will cover a big NBA point spread against the New York Knicks. In plain terms, the question is not who wins, but whether the Spurs win by 17 points or more in the scheduled June 8 game. Because spreads of this size are sensitive to player availability, rest, and late lineup news, this is the kind of market that can move quickly as tipoff approaches.
The contract resolves to "Spurs" if San Antonio beats New York by at least 17 points in the upcoming NBA game listed for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. If the Spurs win by 16 or fewer, lose, or the game ends tied, the market resolves to "Knicks." The market follows the final official game result, and if the game is postponed it stays open until the game is completed; if the game is canceled with no makeup, it settles 50-50.
Point-spread markets capture the gap between a team simply winning and winning by enough to cover the bookmaker-style line. A 16.5-point spread is steep, so the market is really testing whether the Spurs are expected to dominate the Knicks by a wide margin rather than just play a normal competitive game. Readers care because the result depends on how the teams are actually matched up that night, not on season records alone.
The biggest drivers are official injury reports, rest decisions, and any change to who is actually available to play for either team. Starting lineup news, back-to-back scheduling, or a late scratch for a key player can matter a lot when the line is this large. In-game scoring margin also matters once the game starts, since a comfortable lead early can make the Spurs side more attractive while a close first half tends to favor the Knicks side.
The current market price implies roughly a 9% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before settlement, check the final score and make sure the game was completed under the listed June 8 schedule, since postponement and cancellation are handled differently here. The source of truth is the official NBA result, not a box score rumor or a live estimate. Because the market is tied to a 16.5-point spread, readers should pay attention to the exact final margin: 17 or more for Spurs, anything else for Knicks.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-16.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 9%, and $6.4K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Spurs
9%
Knicks
91%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 17 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 9%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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