Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-17.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 8%, and $5.3K in liquidity.
Probability
8%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$5.3K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
92.5%
Change
+0.5%
High
92.5%
Low
92%
Knicks moved from 92% to 92.5% over the last hour, trading between 92% and 92.5%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market is about whether the San Antonio Spurs can beat the New York Knicks by 18 points or more in the NBA game scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. Because the line is Spurs -17.5, the outcome depends not just on who wins, but on the margin of victory, which can turn a one-sided game into a very different settlement result.
The settlement question is simple: if the Spurs win by 18 or more, the market resolves to Spurs; if they win by 17 or fewer, lose, or tie, it resolves to Knicks. The description also says that if the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is actually played, and if it is canceled with no makeup, it resolves 50-50. The end date shown on the page is June 9 at 12:30 AM UTC, which corresponds to the scheduled game window.
Point-spread markets like this one are all about uncertainty over game margin, not just the winner. Even when one team is favored, the exact number of points matters because late-game rotations, injuries, foul trouble, and pace can change whether a team covers a large spread like 17.5. Readers care because the market is pricing a specific judgment about how lopsided this matchup will be.
Anything that changes the expected margin can move this market, especially official injury reports, lineup news, rest decisions, and surprise absences before tipoff. Once the game starts, early scoring runs, foul trouble, garbage-time rotation patterns, and whether the trailing team keeps the game close can all affect the implied chance that the Spurs cover. Because the spread is large, even a strong favorite can miss by a few baskets and still fail to settle on the Spurs side.
The current market price implies roughly a 8% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The key things to verify are the official game status, the scheduled tip time, and the final margin in the NBA box score, since settlement depends only on the final result and not on first-half performance. Readers should also watch for postponement or cancellation language from the league, because the market stays open if the game is delayed but unresolved, and a full cancellation triggers the special 50-50 rule. If there is any ambiguity, the official NBA final score and the market’s listed rules are the source of truth.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-17.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 8%, and $5.3K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Spurs
8%
Knicks
92%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 18 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 8%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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