Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-18.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 8%, and $2.3K in liquidity.
Probability
8%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2.3K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
7.5%
Change
+1%
High
7.5%
Low
6.5%
Spurs moved from 6.5% to 7.5% over the last day, trading between 6.5% and 7.5%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
6 points
This market is about whether the San Antonio Spurs can beat the New York Knicks by a large enough margin to cover a -18.5 spread. In plain terms, Spurs need to win by 19 points or more for the Spurs side to win; anything closer sends settlement to the Knicks side under this market’s rules. Because the line is so steep, the key question is not just who wins, but whether the final margin gets well beyond a typical NBA result.
The market title, "Spread: Spurs (-18.5)", points to a standard basketball point-spread outcome for an upcoming NBA game between the Spurs and Knicks. According to the description, the game is scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET, and the market resolves to "Spurs" only if San Antonio wins by 19 or more points; if the game is tied or the margin is 18 points or fewer, it resolves to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed, and if it is canceled with no make-up, it resolves 50-50.
A spread market like this exists because a straight win/loss is not the only question in basketball; the size of the win matters too. An 18.5-point line is a strong statement about expected dominance, so readers are really watching whether the Spurs can separate from the Knicks by a very wide margin rather than simply edge them out. The disagreement here is about how lopsided the game will be under NBA scoring and rotation conditions, especially if lineup choices, rest, or pace affect the final margin.
Anything that changes the expected margin can move this market quickly, especially injury news, late lineup changes, or a surprise rest decision for key players. In-game scoring runs matter a lot too: a fast Spurs start can make a blowout more plausible, while a competitive first half usually pushes the market toward the Knicks side. Because the threshold is 19 points, even a game that feels one-sided can still miss the cover if the lead shrinks late or the teams empty the bench.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 8% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, readers should verify the actual final score of the Spurs-Knicks game and make sure the result is official under the market’s settlement rules. The important cutoff is the final margin: Spurs must win by 19 or more points, and a tie or smaller Spurs win does not qualify. It is also worth checking whether the game is completed on schedule, postponed, or canceled, since the description treats those outcomes differently and a canceled game would settle 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-18.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 8%, and $2.3K in liquidity.
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Spurs
7.5%
Knicks
92.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 19 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 8%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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