Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-19.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 7%, and $4.5K in liquidity.
Probability
7%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$4.5K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
93.5%
Change
-0.5%
High
94%
Low
93.5%
Knicks moved from 94% to 93.5% over the last 6 hours, trading between 93.5% and 94%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
15 points
This market is about whether the Spurs can beat the Knicks by 20 points or more in their June 8 NBA game. Because the line is set at Spurs -19.5, it is not enough for San Antonio to simply win — the margin has to be large. Games with a spread this big tend to be sensitive to late lineup changes, rest decisions, and how competitive the game stays in the fourth quarter.
The title, "Spread: Spurs (-19.5)," means the settlement is based on the final score margin in the Spurs vs. Knicks game scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. If the Spurs win by 20 or more, the market resolves to "Spurs"; any other result, including a tie, resolves to "Knicks." The market stays open until the game is completed if postponed, and only resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled with no make-up date.
A 19.5-point spread is a very large number in NBA terms, so the key question is not just who wins, but whether the game becomes a blowout. That creates uncertainty around pace, garbage-time scoring, and whether one team rests starters or keeps the game close enough to avoid a cover. Readers care because the outcome depends on the final margin, which can differ sharply from the straight-up winner.
The biggest moves would come from confirmed injuries, resting decisions, and starting lineup changes for either the Spurs or the Knicks. A late scratch to a top scorer or primary defender can change how realistic a 20-point win looks, especially in a spread this wide. Early game flow matters too: if the Spurs start fast and build a double-digit lead, the market becomes more favorable to the Spurs outcome; if the Knicks keep it tight, the Knicks side strengthens.
The current market price implies roughly a 7% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before resolution, check the official game status, final box score, and whether the game is actually completed on June 8 or moved to a make-up date. The settlement rule is margin-based, so the final score difference matters more than who is ahead for most of the game, and a tie is treated as Knicks. Because the page does not provide venue, injury report, or confirmed starters, those are the main details to verify before tipoff for a better read on how likely a 20-point margin really is.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-19.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 7%, and $4.5K in liquidity.
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Spurs
6.5%
Knicks
93.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 20 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 7%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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