Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 43%, and $2.6K in liquidity.
Probability
43%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2.6K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
42.5%
Change
+0.5%
High
43.5%
Low
42%
Spurs moved from 42% to 42.5% over the last day, trading between 42% and 43.5%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
6 points
This market asks whether the Spurs will win the June 8 NBA game by at least 2 points, which is the standard way a -1.5 spread is settled. Because the outcome depends on the final margin rather than just who wins, late-game fouls, overtime, and garbage-time scoring can all matter.
The title refers to a point spread on the Spurs: "Spurs (-1.5)" means Spurs must win by 2 or more points for the market to resolve to Spurs. If the Knicks win outright or if the game lands exactly on a one-point Spurs win, the market resolves to Knicks under these rules. The game is scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET, and the market stays open until the matchup is completed if it is postponed.
Sports spread markets are driven by the uncertainty around team strength, injuries, rotation decisions, and how close the game is expected to be. Here, the disagreement is not simply about which team is better, but whether the Spurs can create enough separation to clear the 1.5-point threshold. That makes the final minutes especially important, since a one-possession finish can flip the result.
Any update that changes expectations about the game margin can move this market, especially news on starters, minutes limits, rest, or last-minute lineup changes. A shift in how competitive the matchup is expected to be, or any information about one team being unusually short-handed, would usually affect whether the Spurs are seen as likely to cover. In-game scoring swings matter too, because a small lead does not guarantee a cover if the game stays close near the end.
The current market price implies roughly a 43% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market resolves, readers should verify the official final score and whether the game was completed, postponed, or canceled, because those outcomes are handled differently. The source of truth is the completed NBA game result, and this market resolves to Knicks if the Spurs fail to win by 2 or more, including a tie or a one-point Spurs win. If the game is postponed, settlement waits until the game is actually played; if it is canceled with no makeup game, the market resolves 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 43%, and $2.6K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Spurs
42.5%
Knicks
57.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 43%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/6/2026
View market
