Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-2.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 41%, and $2.1K in liquidity.
Probability
41%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2.1K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
40.5%
Change
-1%
High
41.5%
Low
40.5%
Spurs moved from 41.5% to 40.5% over the full available history, trading between 40.5% and 41.5%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
2 points
This market asks whether the San Antonio Spurs will cover a 2.5-point spread against the New York Knicks in an upcoming NBA game scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. It is a simple margin-of-victory question, but the exact final score matters: the Spurs need to win by 3 or more points for the market to resolve in their favor.
The title, “Spread: Spurs (-2.5),” means the Spurs are the side being given a handicap of 2.5 points. Under the market rules, the outcome is “Spurs” only if San Antonio wins by at least 3 points; any Knicks win, any Spurs win by exactly 1 or 2 points, or even a tie game resolves to “Knicks.” The market is scheduled to stay open until the game is completed, with a fallback rule for postponement or cancellation.
Basketball spread markets are built around uncertainty in the final margin, not just who wins outright. A team can play well and still fail to cover if the game stays close, so the disagreement here is about whether the Spurs can separate by more than a single possession against the Knicks. That makes the final minutes, late fouling, and end-of-game score changes especially important.
The biggest price movers are concrete game-day factors: confirmed starting lineups, late injury reports, rest decisions, and any change that affects how competitive the matchup looks before tipoff. Once the game starts, the live score margin, foul trouble, pace, and whether the game is trending toward a blowout or a close finish will matter most. Because the spread is only 2.5 points, even a small shift in expected scoring or one late run can change how the market is priced.
The current market price implies roughly a 41% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before this market settles, readers should verify that the scheduled June 8 game is actually played and completed, since postponed games stay open and canceled games resolve 50-50. The key source of truth is the official final score, including the margin after all regulation and any overtime that is part of the completed game. It is also worth checking the closing injury and lineup status close to tipoff, because those can change the expected margin without changing the matchup itself.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-2.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 41%, and $2.1K in liquidity.
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Spurs
40.5%
Knicks
59.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 41%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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