Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 38%, $24.4 in 24h volume, and $2.5K in liquidity.
Probability
38%
24h Volume
$24.4
Liquidity
$2.5K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
37.5%
Change
-1%
High
38.5%
Low
37.5%
Spurs moved from 38.5% to 37.5% over the last week, trading between 37.5% and 38.5%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
2 points
This market asks whether the San Antonio Spurs will cover a -3.5 point spread against the New York Knicks in the NBA game scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. In plain terms, Spurs must win by 4 or more points for the Spurs side to settle in the money; any other result goes to Knicks. Because the spread is relatively small, late lineup news, injuries, and game-day rest decisions can matter a lot.
The event is the upcoming Spurs vs. Knicks NBA game, and the settlement hinges on the final margin of victory rather than which team simply wins. If the Spurs win by 4 points or more, the market resolves to "Spurs"; if they win by 3 or fewer, lose, or the game ends tied, it resolves to "Knicks." The market stays open if the game is postponed and waits for the game to be completed, while a full cancellation with no makeup would resolve 50-50.
A point spread market captures the uncertainty around not just the winner, but how decisive the game will be. Even when one team is favored, basketball margins can swing quickly based on shooting variance, foul trouble, pace, and who is available to play. Readers watching this market are really watching whether the Spurs are expected to clear a moderate roadblock or whether the Knicks can keep the game close enough to fail the spread.
The biggest price movers are official injury reports, confirmed starting lineups, and any indication that a key scorer or defender will sit or return. Because the market is tied to a single game, changes in expected pace, back-to-back rest decisions, and pregame betting-market moves can all shift the spread view before tipoff. If either team announces a surprise lineup change close to 8:30 PM ET, that is the kind of event-specific update most likely to move this market.
The current market price implies roughly a 38% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market resolves, check the official NBA box score and final game result, since the winning condition is based on the final margin after the game is completed. The most important rule detail is that a Spurs win by exactly 3 points does not qualify for the Spurs side; it still settles to Knicks because the spread is -3.5. Also note the special handling for postponement, cancellation, and ties, so a reader should verify that the game was actually played to completion and that the final score is official.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 38%, $24.4 in 24h volume, and $2.5K in liquidity.
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Spurs
37.5%
Knicks
62.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 38%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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