Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-4.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 34%, and $2.5K in liquidity.
Probability
34%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2.5K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
33.5%
Change
+0.5%
High
35%
Low
33%
Spurs moved from 33% to 33.5% over the last day, trading between 33% and 35%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
6 points
This market is about whether the Spurs can beat the Knicks by at least five points in the scheduled NBA game on June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. Because the line is set at Spurs (-4.5), the result depends not just on who wins, but on the margin of victory, which makes the final score especially important.
The question here is simple: will San Antonio cover a 4.5-point spread against New York? If the Spurs win by 5 or more, the market resolves to “Spurs”; if they win by 4 or fewer, lose, or the game is tied, it resolves to “Knicks.” The settlement window stays open if the game is postponed until it is actually completed, and a true cancellation with no make-up game is the only case where the market settles 50-50.
Point-spread markets are designed around uncertainty in margin, not just outright winner. In NBA games, that uncertainty often comes from matchup quality, pace, late-game fouling, injuries, and whether either team rests key players or changes its rotation, all of which can swing the final margin by a few points.
Any confirmed change to the Spurs’ or Knicks’ available lineup can matter quickly, especially if a starter is ruled out or limited before tipoff. Pre-game movement in the point spread, official injury designations, and how close the game is through the first three quarters can all shape expectations about whether San Antonio is likely to clear 4.5 points. Because the market settles on final margin, even a game that looks close early can still shift sharply if one team pulls away late.
The current market price implies roughly a 34% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The key items to verify are the official game status, the final score, and whether the matchup is played in full on June 8 or moved because of a postponement. Readers should also watch for any official NBA injury report updates and the starting lineups, since those are the most relevant pieces of information for a spread like this. For settlement, the source of truth is the completed game result, with ties and losses both counting against the Spurs side under the market rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-4.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 34%, and $2.5K in liquidity.
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Spurs
34%
Knicks
66%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 34%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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