Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-5.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 31%, $2.9 in 24h volume, and $5.1K in liquidity.
Probability
31%
24h Volume
$2.9
Liquidity
$5.1K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
69%
Change
-1%
High
70%
Low
50.5%
Knicks moved from 70% to 69% over the last 6 hours, trading between 50.5% and 70%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
19 points
This market is about whether the Spurs can cover a 5.5-point spread against the Knicks in the June 8 NBA game. In plain terms, Spurs backers need San Antonio to win by 6 or more points; any Knicks win, or a Spurs win by 5 or fewer, settles for Knicks.
The title, "Spread: Spurs (-5.5)," points to a standard NBA point spread rather than a straight moneyline result. The market’s settlement rule is simple: it resolves to Spurs only if the Spurs win by 6 or more points; otherwise it resolves to Knicks, including the case of a tie. The game is scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET, and the market remains open if the game is postponed until the matchup is actually completed.
The uncertainty here is not just who wins, but by how much. A spread can be sensitive to late injuries, lineup changes, rest decisions, or whether the game stays close into the final minutes, which is why a team can be favored on the board and still miss the cover. The presence of both Spurs and Knicks also gives this market a clear matchup-specific question: can San Antonio separate by enough points to clear 5.5 in a single game?
Late injury news, starting lineup announcements, and any hint of load management can matter quickly because they change how strong each team is expected to be on game day. If the game turns into a close, low-margin contest, the Knicks side generally becomes more attractive; if the Spurs look deeper, healthier, or more likely to control pace and margin, the Spurs side can strengthen. In-game developments such as an early foul situation, an overtime game, or a late run can also affect how likely a 6-point margin looks before the market settles.
The current market price implies roughly a 31% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market resolves, readers should confirm the official game status, the final score, and whether the matchup was completed as scheduled, postponed, or canceled. The key settlement source is the completed NBA game result, not a media recap or informal box score, and the spread is judged strictly on final margin after the game ends. Because the rules say a canceled game with no make-up resolves 50-50, that is the main edge case to verify if the schedule changes.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-5.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 31%, $2.9 in 24h volume, and $5.1K in liquidity.
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Spurs
30.5%
Knicks
69.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 31%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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