Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-6.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 28%, and $2.5K in liquidity.
Probability
28%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2.5K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
72%
Change
+0.5%
High
72%
Low
71.5%
Knicks moved from 71.5% to 72% over the last month, trading between 71.5% and 72%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
2 points
This market is about the San Antonio Spurs covering a 6.5-point spread against the New York Knicks in an upcoming NBA game on June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. It is a straightforward margin question: bettors are watching not just who wins, but whether the Spurs win by at least seven points.
The title, "Spread: Spurs (-6.5)," means the Spurs must win by 7 or more points for the market to resolve to "Spurs." If the Knicks win, or if the Spurs win by 6 points or fewer, the market resolves to "Knicks"; a tie also counts as "Knicks" under the rules. The event is tied to one specific NBA game, and the market stays open until that game is finished if it is postponed, while a full cancellation with no make-up game would settle 50-50.
Point-spread markets focus on the gap between two teams rather than the final winner, which is why a single possession late in the game can matter even if the outcome looks settled. The uncertainty here is whether the Spurs can create enough separation over the Knicks to cover 6.5 points, or whether New York keeps the game close enough to beat the spread. That makes pregame lineup news, injuries, rest, and late scoring swings especially relevant to how this market is priced.
Any confirmed change to the Spurs or Knicks rotation can move expectations quickly, especially if a key starter is ruled out or limited close to tipoff. Because the line is set at 6.5 points, news that affects pace, scoring depth, or defensive matchups can matter as much as the outright winner. Once the game begins, live game flow, foul trouble, and whether the margin stays above or below seven points will be the main drivers of settlement risk.
The current market price implies roughly a 28% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The key things to verify are the scheduled tipoff time, whether the game is actually played on June 8 as listed, and the official final score used for settlement. Readers should also check the market rules carefully: Spurs need a win by 7 or more, while a 6-point win, any Knicks win, or a tie all resolve to Knicks. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion; if it is canceled with no make-up game, it settles 50-50, so the official NBA game status is the source of truth.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-6.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 28%, and $2.5K in liquidity.
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Spurs
28%
Knicks
72%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 28%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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