Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-7.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 26%, and $3.5K in liquidity.
Probability
26%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$3.5K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
25.5%
Change
+1%
High
25.5%
Low
24.5%
Spurs moved from 24.5% to 25.5% over the full available history, trading between 24.5% and 25.5%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
2 points
This market asks whether the Spurs will cover a 7.5-point spread against the Knicks in the NBA game scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. In plain terms, Spurs must win by 8 or more points for the market to resolve to "Spurs"; any closer result, a Knicks win, or a tie resolves to "Knicks."
The title refers to a standard point-spread bet-style outcome on an NBA matchup between the San Antonio Spurs and the New York Knicks. The key detail is the margin of victory, not just which team wins: the Spurs need to finish at least eight points ahead to clear the -7.5 line. The market is set to resolve after the game is completed, with the posted deadline showing an end date of June 9 at 00:30 UTC.
A spread like Spurs -7.5 creates uncertainty because a team can win outright without covering, especially if the game is competitive late or if lineup decisions change the scoring margin. Fans following the matchup may care about injuries, rotations, pace of play, and whether the game stays close enough to keep the underdog inside the number. The market is pricing disagreement over whether the Spurs can separate by enough points rather than simply whether they can win.
The biggest price movers will be concrete game-day developments: confirmed starters, late injury reports, minutes restrictions, and any change to the expected lineup for either side. Because the settlement depends on the final margin, blowout risk, overtime, or a late run that turns a small lead into a wider one can all matter. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played; if it is canceled with no makeup, it resolves 50-50 under the rules given.
The current market price implies roughly a 26% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before this market resolves, readers should verify the official game status, tip time, and final score from the NBA’s official result or another clearly authoritative source. The important settlement rule here is the margin: Spurs by 8 or more wins the market for Spurs, while a 7-point win or any Knicks result resolves to Knicks. If the game is delayed, postponed, or otherwise rescheduled, the market remains open until completion, so the final status matters as much as the box score.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-7.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 26%, and $3.5K in liquidity.
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Spurs
25.5%
Knicks
74.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 26%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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