Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-8.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 23%, and $3.5K in liquidity.
Probability
23%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$3.5K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
23%
Change
+0.5%
High
23%
Low
22.5%
Spurs moved from 22.5% to 23% over the last week, trading between 22.5% and 23%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
2 points
This market is about whether the San Antonio Spurs can cover an 8.5-point spread against the New York Knicks in the NBA game scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. In plain terms, Spurs backers need a win by 9 points or more; anything else, including a tie, goes to the Knicks side for settlement.
The title refers to the point spread, not the outright winner, so the key question is margin of victory. Here, the Spurs outcome resolves only if San Antonio finishes at least 9 points ahead of New York; if the final margin is 8 points or fewer, or the game is tied, the market resolves to Knicks. The market is scheduled to close around the game time, with final settlement tied to the completed game result.
An NBA spread can be uncertain because the final margin depends on lineup availability, pace, shooting variance, and whether either team pulls away late. The Spurs and Knicks are familiar franchise names, but the market is not asking who is better on paper — it is asking whether San Antonio can beat a specific line by enough points on this date. That makes the exact game context, not just the team names, what matters most.
Late injury reports, rest decisions, starting lineup changes, or a surprise scratch for either side can quickly change expectations around the spread. Because the market is priced around a 9-point cover, pregame moves in the betting line, sharp matchup adjustments, or news about who is active can affect sentiment before tipoff. During the game, early foul trouble, a big first-half run, or a blowout developing in either direction would also move the market.
The current market price implies roughly a 23% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Readers should verify the official final score of the scheduled Spurs-Knicks game and whether it is completed as scheduled. The settlement rules matter: a Spurs win by 9 or more resolves to Spurs, while every other completed result resolves to Knicks, and a tie also goes to Knicks. If the game is postponed, it stays open until played; if it is canceled with no makeup, the market resolves 50-50, so the key ambiguity to watch is whether the game is actually completed and how the final margin is recorded.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-8.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 23%, and $3.5K in liquidity.
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Spurs
22.5%
Knicks
77.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 23%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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