Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-12.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 19%, and $3.2K in liquidity.
Probability
19%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$3.2K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
18.5%
Change
-2%
High
20.5%
Low
18.5%
Knicks moved from 20.5% to 18.5% over the full available history, trading between 18.5% and 20.5%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
2 points
This market asks a simple but specific question: will the New York Knicks cover a 12.5-point spread in the scheduled NBA game on June 8 at 8:30 PM ET? In other words, the Knicks have to win by 13 points or more for the market to resolve to “Knicks”; any smaller win, a loss, or a tie resolves to “Spurs.”
The title “Spread: Knicks (-12.5)” refers to a point-spread outcome, not just who wins the game. Because the listed opponent outcome is “Spurs,” the market is effectively pricing whether New York can outperform that spread against San Antonio in this specific game. The market resolves after the game is completed, with a listed deadline of June 9 at 00:30 UTC, and if the game is postponed it stays open until the matchup is played.
A spread this large leaves room for disagreement about the final margin, even if one side is favored. Readers care because NBA margins can swing quickly based on shooting runs, foul trouble, lineup changes, pace, and how long starters stay in the game if the score gets lopsided. The market is capturing whether the Knicks can turn a normal win into a double-digit blowout rather than merely finishing ahead.
Any news that changes expected scoring margin can move this market, especially confirmed lineup changes, late scratches, rest decisions, or a key player sitting out. In-game developments matter too: an early Knicks lead, a fast pace, hot three-point shooting, or a Spurs comeback can all change the outlook on a 13-point cover. Because the line is large, garbage time and late substitutions can also matter if the game is already out of reach.
The current market price implies roughly a 19% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market settles, check the official game status, final score, and whether the matchup is completed as scheduled. The settlement rule is straightforward: Knicks by 13 or more resolves to “Knicks,” anything else resolves to “Spurs,” and a tied game also goes to “Spurs.” If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played; if it is canceled entirely with no makeup game, it resolves 50-50, so readers should verify whether the game is completed, postponed, or canceled using the official result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-12.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 19%, and $3.2K in liquidity.
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Knicks
18.5%
Spurs
81.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 13 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 19%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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