Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-13.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 16%, and $4.6K in liquidity.
Probability
16%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$4.6K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
83.5%
Change
+0.5%
High
84%
Low
83%
Spurs moved from 83% to 83.5% over the last hour, trading between 83% and 84%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market asks whether the Knicks will win their upcoming NBA game by 14 points or more, which is a much higher bar than simply winning outright. Because the spread is large, the key question is not just who wins, but whether New York can create enough separation to cover the number.
The title refers to an NBA point spread of Knicks (-13.5), with the game scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. Under the market rules, the result resolves to "Knicks" only if the Knicks win by 14 or more points; any smaller Knicks win, a Spurs win, or a tie resolves to "Spurs." If the game is postponed, it stays open until the game is played, and if it is canceled with no make-up, it settles 50-50.
A 13.5-point spread is a wide margin in an NBA game, so the outcome depends on more than just team strength. Readers watching this market are really tracking whether the Knicks can dominate the game from start to finish, or whether the Spurs can keep it close enough to stay within the number.
The biggest price movers here are the usual basketball factors tied to this specific spread: confirmed starting lineups, late injury or rest news, and any change in how competitive the matchup looks once the game starts. Because the line is so large, even small shifts in expectations about pace, rotation depth, or garbage-time scoring can matter.
The current market price implies roughly a 16% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before settlement, check the official final score and confirm whether the game is completed as scheduled, since postponement and cancellation are handled differently from a normal result. The market resolves from the actual margin of victory, not from team reputation or pregame odds, so the key detail is whether the Knicks finish at least 14 points ahead. If there is any delay or abandonment, the market rules—not the on-page price—determine how it ultimately settles.
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Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-13.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 16%, and $4.6K in liquidity.
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Knicks
16%
Spurs
84%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 14 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 16%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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