Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-14.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 15%, and $2.7K in liquidity.
Probability
15%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2.7K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
15%
Change
-1.5%
High
16.5%
Low
15%
Knicks moved from 16.5% to 15% over the last month, trading between 15% and 16.5%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
2 points
This market asks whether the New York Knicks will cover a 14.5-point spread in their upcoming NBA game against the San Antonio Spurs. In plain terms, the Knicks need to win by 15 points or more for the Knicks outcome to resolve; anything else goes to Spurs. It is worth watching because a margin this large depends not just on who wins, but on how lopsided the final score is.
The title, “Spread: Knicks (-14.5),” refers to the standard NBA point spread for the June 8 game scheduled for 8:30 PM ET. For settlement, the market resolves to “Knicks” only if New York wins by at least 15 points; if the Knicks win by fewer than 15, lose, or the game finishes tied, it resolves to “Spurs.” The market is tied to that specific matchup and deadline, with the end date shown as June 9, 2026 at 00:30 UTC.
A point-spread market like this is about the final margin, not simply the winner, so there can be meaningful uncertainty even in a game where one side is favored. The Knicks and Spurs are both established NBA teams, but a 14.5-point line is wide enough that bettors and observers may disagree on whether the favorite can pull away late or whether the underdog can keep the game within reach. That disagreement is what the market is pricing.
Anything that changes expectations about scoring margin can move this market, especially lineup news, late scratches, rest decisions, or injuries to key players before tipoff. Because the line is so large, pace of play and whether the game stays competitive into the fourth quarter matter more than a simple win-loss view. If the game becomes lopsided early, that can support the Knicks side; if the Spurs stay close or the game tightens late, the Spurs side becomes more attractive.
The current market price implies roughly a 15% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before this market resolves, readers should verify the official game date, tipoff time, and that the contest is completed rather than postponed or canceled. The settlement rule is straightforward: Knicks must win by 15 or more points, and if the game is postponed the market stays open until it is played; if it is canceled with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50. The main ambiguity to watch for is whether the final official NBA score confirms the margin, including any stat corrections or ruling changes that affect the final result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-14.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 15%, and $2.7K in liquidity.
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Knicks
15%
Spurs
85%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 15 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 15%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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