Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-15.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 14%, and $7.9K in liquidity.
Probability
14%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$7.9K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
86%
Change
-0.5%
High
86.5%
Low
50.5%
Spurs moved from 86.5% to 86% over the last 6 hours, trading between 50.5% and 86.5%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
18 points
This market is about whether the New York Knicks will cover a large point spread against the San Antonio Spurs in the scheduled NBA game on June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. Because the line is Knicks -15.5, the Knicks must win by 16 points or more for the market to settle to Knicks; any smaller win, a loss, or a tie settles to Spurs.
The title refers to the betting-style spread on the Knicks, and the description makes the settlement rule explicit: Knicks need a victory margin of at least 16 points to win this market. The game is listed as an upcoming NBA matchup between the Knicks and Spurs, and the market remains open until that game is actually completed. If the game is postponed, it stays open; if it is canceled with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50.
A double-digit NBA spread can be hard to judge because it depends not just on who wins, but on how far the final score stretches by the end of four quarters. Fans will care about injuries, rest, minutes limits, and late lineup news because any of those can change whether a favorite can win comfortably enough to cover. The market is pricing disagreement over whether New York can separate by a very large margin against San Antonio.
Any official injury report updates, unexpected rest decisions, or a change in the starting lineup can move expectations quickly, especially for a spread this wide. Pre-game or in-game developments such as a star player being ruled out, an early foul problem, a blowout pace, or a close first half can also change how likely the Knicks are to cover. Because the settlement depends on margin of victory, not just the winner, late-game rotation choices and garbage-time scoring can matter.
The current market price implies roughly a 14% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The most important thing to verify is the official final score of the completed Knicks-Spurs game, since that is what determines whether the Knicks won by 16 or more. Readers should also watch for any postponement, cancellation, or schedule change, because the market rules treat those outcomes differently. If the listed June 8 start time changes or the game is not played as scheduled, the settlement depends on whether there is a make-up game or a full cancellation with no make-up.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-15.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 14%, and $7.9K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Knicks
14%
Spurs
86%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 16 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 14%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/6/2026
View market
