Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-16.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 12%, and $3.9K in liquidity.
Probability
12%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$3.9K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
88.5%
Change
0%
High
88.5%
Low
88%
Spurs moved from 88.5% to 88.5% over the last hour, trading between 88% and 88.5%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market asks whether the Knicks will beat the Spurs by 17 points or more in the scheduled June 8 NBA game. Because the line is set at a large margin, the key question is not just who wins, but whether New York can win in a blowout.
The event is the NBA game listed for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET, with resolution based on the final margin of victory. If the Knicks win by 17 or more, the market resolves to "Knicks"; otherwise it resolves to "Spurs," including any Knicks win by 16 or fewer, a Spurs win, or a tie. The market stays open if the game is postponed until it is completed, and it resolves 50-50 only if the game is canceled with no makeup.
A 16.5-point spread is a very wide number in an NBA game, so the market is really about whether one side can dominate from start to finish. In basketball, large spreads can be affected by team quality gaps, rest, injuries, lineup changes, and whether one team pulls away late or rests starters. That uncertainty is what makes the exact margin interesting here.
Any information that changes expectations around the final margin can move this market, especially confirmed injuries, lineup rest decisions, or late scratches before tipoff. Because the market is tied to a specific spread, a fast start, a close first half, or a big lead late in the game can also change how traders view the chance of a 17-point Knicks win. The most relevant game-specific development is anything that suggests the Knicks are more or less likely to control the game by a wide enough margin to cover 16.5.
The current market price implies roughly a 12% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Readers should verify the official final score of the completed game, since settlement depends on the exact point differential. The most important detail is that a Knicks win by 16 does not qualify, while 17 or more does, and a tie still counts against the Knicks side under the market rules. If the game is delayed or postponed, it does not settle until the game is actually finished; if it is canceled entirely with no makeup, the market resolves 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-16.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 12%, and $3.9K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Knicks
11.5%
Spurs
88.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 17 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 12%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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