Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-17.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, and $3.5K in liquidity.
Probability
10%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$3.5K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
10%
Change
-1%
High
11%
Low
10%
Knicks moved from 11% to 10% over the last hour, trading between 10% and 11%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market is about whether the New York Knicks will cover a 17.5-point spread in their June 8 NBA game against the San Antonio Spurs. In plain terms, the Knicks need to win by 18 points or more for the market to settle to “Knicks”; anything else, including a tie, resolves to “Spurs.” Because the margin is large, the key question is not just who wins, but whether the final score gets lopsided enough to clear that number.
The title, “Spread: Knicks (-17.5),” points to a standard NBA point-spread result for the Knicks’ matchup listed for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. The description says the market resolves to Knicks only if New York wins by at least 18 points; otherwise it resolves to Spurs, and a tied game also counts as Spurs. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is played; if it is canceled with no make-up, it resolves 50-50.
A spread this large creates a clear disagreement about how dominant the Knicks are expected to be in this specific game. Even when one team is favored, covering -17.5 is much harder than simply winning, so small changes in lineup availability, rest, or game pace can matter a lot. The market is essentially pricing whether the Knicks’ edge is strong enough to produce a blowout rather than a routine win.
The biggest swing factors are late injury news, rest decisions, and any change to who is active for either team, especially if a primary scorer or defender is unexpectedly out. In-game developments such as a slow Knicks start, foul trouble, an early blowout, or a close rotation could also change how likely an 18-point margin looks. Because the line is so wide, first-half scoring pace and whether the Spurs can keep the game competitive are especially important.
The current market price implies roughly a 10% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market settles, readers should verify the official final score of the Knicks-Spurs game and make sure the margin is at least 18 points if they want a Knicks resolution. The settlement rule is simple, but postponed or canceled games are handled differently, so the official game status matters too. It is also worth checking whether any schedule changes push the game beyond the listed June 8/June 9 resolution window, since that would affect when the market can close.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-17.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, and $3.5K in liquidity.
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Knicks
10%
Spurs
90%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 18 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 10%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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