Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-18.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $197.2 in 24h volume, and $4.3K in liquidity.
Probability
10%
24h Volume
$197.2
Liquidity
$4.3K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
90.5%
Change
0%
High
90.5%
Low
90.5%
Spurs moved from 90.5% to 90.5% over the full available history, trading between 90.5% and 90.5%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
2 points
This market is about whether the New York Knicks will cover a very large 18.5-point spread in an upcoming NBA game against the Spurs. To resolve to Knicks, New York has to win by 19 points or more; any smaller win, a loss, or a tie goes to Spurs under the market rules. Because the line is so wide, the key question is not just who wins, but whether the game turns into a blowout.
The event is the NBA game scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET, with the market set to resolve after that game is completed. The outcome is tied to the final margin of victory, not the score, and the rules are explicit that a tie counts as Spurs; if the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played, and if it is canceled with no makeup, it resolves 50-50. The page title uses the standard betting shorthand “Knicks (-18.5),” which means the Knicks must exceed that margin to win this market.
A spread this large creates uncertainty about game pace, rotation choices, and whether one team can keep the score close enough to avoid a blowout. Readers will care because NBA spread markets are often driven by lineup availability, rest situations, and how competitive the matchup is expected to be on the court. In this case, the market is pricing a disagreement over whether the Knicks can separate by 19 or more, or whether the Spurs can stay within the number.
Anything that changes the expected margin can move this market: confirmed starting lineups, late scratches, rest decisions, and updates on who is available to play. For a spread this large, a stronger-than-expected Knicks lineup or a weakened Spurs rotation would generally support the Knicks side, while absences for key Knicks players or a full-strength Spurs roster would make it harder for New York to cover. Since the game has a fixed tipoff time, late pregame injury news is especially important.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 10% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before settlement, readers should verify the official final score and margin from the NBA game box score, since that is the only thing that decides the result. The exact settlement rules matter here: the Knicks need a 19-point win, ties resolve to Spurs, postponed games remain open until played, and a full cancellation with no makeup is the only case that becomes 50-50. The main ambiguity to watch for is whether the scheduled game is completed as planned, because that determines whether the market resolves normally or stays open longer.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-18.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $197.2 in 24h volume, and $4.3K in liquidity.
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Knicks
10%
Spurs
90%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 19 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 10%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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