Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-19.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 8%, and $3.5K in liquidity.
Probability
8%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$3.5K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
92%
Change
0%
High
92%
Low
92%
Spurs moved from 92% to 92% over the last month, trading between 92% and 92%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
2 points
This market asks whether the Knicks will cover a very large 19.5-point spread against the Spurs in an upcoming NBA game on June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. Because a margin of 20 points or more is required for a Knicks resolution, this is more about an unusually lopsided blowout than simply who wins the game.
The title, "Spread: Knicks (-19.5)," means the market resolves to Knicks only if New York wins by 20 points or more. If the Knicks win by fewer than 20, lose outright, or the game ends tied, the market resolves to Spurs; the description also says a postponed game stays open until played, while a full cancellation without a makeup would settle 50-50. The listed deadline is June 9 at 12:30 AM UTC, which lines up with the scheduled game window and the normal resolution timing for an NBA matchup.
Point spreads in the NBA can swing on lineups, rest, and game pace, and a 19.5-point number is high enough that even a strong favorite can fail to cover. That creates a clean yes-or-no question about whether the Knicks can separate early and keep scoring, or whether the Spurs can keep the game within the number even in defeat. Readers following this market are mainly watching whether the final margin reaches that 20-point threshold, not just who looks better on paper.
The biggest drivers are the confirmed starting lineups, late injury news, any rest decisions, and whether either team is using regular rotation minutes or a shortened playoff-style rotation. If the Knicks are missing a key scorer or the Spurs are unexpectedly healthy and competitive, that would make a 20-point margin look less likely; if the Knicks are fully loaded and the Spurs are shorthanded, the cover becomes more plausible. Because this is a spread market, garbage-time scoring, foul trouble, and early blowouts can matter a lot for the final margin.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 8% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before settlement, check the official game result and final margin from the NBA’s game record or a similarly authoritative score source, since the market resolves strictly on whether the Knicks win by 20 or more. The main ambiguity risk is not the winner but the exact point margin, especially if the game goes to overtime or includes unusual late scoring that changes the spread outcome. Also note the special rules: postponement keeps the market open until the game is completed, while a true cancellation with no makeup would settle 50-50 rather than to either side.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-19.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 8%, and $3.5K in liquidity.
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Knicks
8%
Spurs
92%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 20 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 8%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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