Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 53%, $6 in 24h volume, and $7.1K in liquidity.
Probability
53%
24h Volume
$6
Liquidity
$7.1K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
52.5%
Change
0%
High
52.5%
Low
52.5%
Knicks moved from 52.5% to 52.5% over the full available history, trading between 52.5% and 52.5%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
2 points
This market is about whether the Knicks cover a 1.5-point spread in an upcoming NBA game on June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. For readers, the key issue is simple: New York needs to win by at least 2 points for the market to resolve to Knicks, while any other result goes to Spurs. Because the line is so short, the late game script, injuries, and who is available to play can matter a lot.
The title points to a standard NBA point spread: Knicks (-1.5). Under the settlement rules, the market resolves to "Knicks" only if the Knicks win the game by 2 or more points; otherwise it resolves to "Spurs," including if the game finishes tied. The listed resolution deadline is after the scheduled game window, and if the game is postponed the market stays open until it is completed.
A spread like -1.5 is designed to capture a close game, so even a small swing in performance can flip the outcome. That is why markets like this often stay tight: readers are weighing whether the Knicks are slightly more likely than the Spurs to win by enough margin, or whether a one-possession finish is more likely. The interest here is not just who wins, but whether the margin clears the specific number in the rules.
Pre-game lineup news is the biggest practical driver: if a starter is ruled out, limited, or unexpectedly active, that can change how likely it is that New York covers. Game-specific factors such as rest, travel, back-to-back scheduling, and whether the matchup projects as a close finish can also move the market. Once the game starts, foul trouble, injury exits, overtime risk, and a late run by either team can all matter because the spread is decided by the final margin, not simply the winner.
The current market price implies roughly a 53% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market settles, check the official game status, final box score, and whether the game was completed as scheduled or postponed. The settlement language is important here: a tie resolves to Spurs, and a canceled game with no make-up would resolve 50-50, so readers should verify the final official result rather than relying on the live score alone. Since the source is a Polymarket NBA event, the safest reference point is the completed game outcome under the stated spread rules, not the headline title by itself.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 53%, $6 in 24h volume, and $7.1K in liquidity.
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Knicks
52.5%
Spurs
47.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 53%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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