Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-20.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $139.1 in 24h volume, and $4.6K in liquidity.
Probability
10%
24h Volume
$139.1
Liquidity
$4.6K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
9.5%
Change
+0.5%
High
9.5%
Low
8.5%
Knicks moved from 9% to 9.5% over the last hour, trading between 8.5% and 9.5%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market asks whether the New York Knicks will beat the San Antonio Spurs by 21 points or more in the scheduled NBA game on June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. Because the line is set at Knicks -20.5, the question is not just who wins, but whether New York can win by a very large margin.
The title points to a point-spread outcome: "Knicks (-20.5)" means the Knicks need to win by at least 21 points for the market to resolve to Knicks. If they win by 20 or fewer, lose, or the game ends tied, it resolves to Spurs under the stated rules. The market description also says that if the game is postponed, it stays open until a completed game is played, and if it is canceled with no makeup game, it settles 50-50.
Large NBA spreads are often uncertain because a big favorite still has to cover the margin, which can depend on late lineup changes, resting decisions, foul trouble, and whether the game stays close enough for starters to play normal minutes. A 20.5-point line is especially sensitive because even a comfortable win may not be enough for the favorite side, so people following the game care about the final margin more than the outright winner. This market reflects disagreement over whether New York’s edge in this matchup is large enough to clear a very demanding spread.
Any update that changes expected minutes or availability for key players on either side can move sentiment quickly, especially if the Knicks are projected to rest starters or the Spurs are expected to be short-handed. Pre-game lineup announcements, confirmed injuries, and any sign that the Knicks may control the game early can matter because a big lead increases the chance of covering 20.5. Once the game starts, the pace, first-half margin, and whether the Knicks keep their starters in the game longer than usual are the most direct developments that can shift expectations.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 10% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important thing to verify is the official final score from the completed game, since the market resolves strictly on whether the Knicks win by 21 or more points. Readers should also check for postponement, cancellation, or rescheduling, because the rules say a postponed game stays open until completion, while a canceled game with no makeup settles 50-50. If the score is close to the line, the exact final margin matters more than the winner, so the settlement depends on the official game result rather than any broader narrative about who played better.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-20.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $139.1 in 24h volume, and $4.6K in liquidity.
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Knicks
9.5%
Spurs
90.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 21 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 10%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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