Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-21.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 7%, and $8.3K in liquidity.
Probability
7%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$8.3K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
7%
Change
+0.5%
High
7%
Low
6.5%
Knicks moved from 6.5% to 7% over the last hour, trading between 6.5% and 7%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market is about whether the New York Knicks can win their June 8 NBA game by an unusually large margin: 22 points or more. Because the required margin is so wide, the key question is not just who wins, but whether the Knicks can dominate from start to finish.
The title, “Spread: Knicks (-21.5),” means the Knicks must cover a 21.5-point spread in the listed NBA matchup against the Spurs. Under the market rules, it resolves to “Knicks” only if New York wins by 22 points or more; any smaller Knicks win, a Spurs win, or even a tie resolves to “Spurs.” The scheduled game time is June 8 at 8:30 PM ET, and the market stays open until the game is completed if it is postponed, while a full cancellation with no make-up game would settle 50-50.
A spread this large is hard to clear in an NBA game, so readers are effectively being asked whether one side can produce a blowout rather than a normal win. The Knicks and Spurs are both major NBA teams, but the outcome here depends on game-day conditions such as rest, lineup choices, injuries, and whether the score gets out of hand early or stays competitive. The disagreement reflected in the market is about the size of the win, not the winner itself.
Any update that changes the expected margin can move this market quickly, especially news about starters sitting, late scratches, minutes restrictions, or unexpected lineup changes. In-game scoring runs matter a lot here: a fast Knicks lead can strengthen the case for a cover, while a close first half or a Spurs comeback would push expectations the other way. Because the required margin is 22 points, even a comfortable Knicks win may still be far short of the threshold.
The current market price implies roughly a 7% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market resolves, check the official NBA game status, the final box score, and the winning margin as reported by the league or official scorekeeper. The key ambiguity to watch is whether the game is completed as scheduled, postponed and later played, or canceled entirely, because the settlement rule is different in each case. Also note that a tie, while rare in regulation, is explicitly treated the same as a non-cover and resolves to Spurs under this market’s rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-21.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 7%, and $8.3K in liquidity.
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Knicks
7%
Spurs
93%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 22 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 7%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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