Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-22.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 6%, and $6.3K in liquidity.
Probability
6%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$6.3K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
94%
Change
+0.5%
High
94%
Low
93.5%
Spurs moved from 93.5% to 94% over the last week, trading between 93.5% and 94%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
3 points
This market asks whether the New York Knicks will win their NBA game by 23 points or more. Because the line is set at Knicks -22.5, the favorite only cashes if New York wins in a blowout; any smaller Knicks win, a Spurs win, or a tie resolves to the Spurs side here. The game is scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET, and the market stays open until the game is officially completed if the matchup is postponed.
The event is a standard NBA point-spread question tied to the Knicks and Spurs. To resolve for "Knicks," New York must finish the game ahead by at least 23 points; otherwise the market resolves to "Spurs." If the game ends tied, the Spurs outcome still wins under these rules, and if the game is canceled with no make-up, the market settles 50-50.
A 22.5-point spread is a large margin for an NBA game, so the main uncertainty is whether the Knicks can not only win but dominate from start to finish. Readers care because this kind of line is sensitive to roster availability, late scratches, rest, pace, and whether either team keeps starters in long enough to protect or extend a lead. The market is pricing a disagreement over how likely a very lopsided final score is.
Any confirmed injury news, lineup change, or rest decision involving key Knicks or Spurs players can move this market quickly, because a big spread leaves little room for error. Pre-game reports about who is active, how many starters are expected to play, and whether either team is treating the game as a high-priority matchup matter a lot. Once the game starts, a fast Knicks lead, foul trouble, or a competitive first half can also change expectations for whether New York can clear 22.5.
The current market price implies roughly a 6% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Check the official game status, since a postponement keeps the market open until the game is actually finished. The key source of truth is the final NBA score, not betting lines or mid-game estimates: Knicks must win by 23 or more points to resolve on that side. If there is any cancellation with no make-up game, the market does not resolve to either team and instead settles 50-50 under the listed rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-22.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 6%, and $6.3K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Knicks
6%
Spurs
94%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 23 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 6%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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