Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-2.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 49%, $715.2 in 24h volume, and $9.9K in liquidity.
Probability
49%
24h Volume
$715.2
Liquidity
$9.9K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
48.5%
Change
+1%
High
48.5%
Low
47.5%
Knicks moved from 47.5% to 48.5% over the full available history, trading between 47.5% and 48.5%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
2 points
This market asks whether the New York Knicks will cover a 2.5-point spread against the San Antonio Spurs in the scheduled June 8 NBA game. In plain terms, it is about whether the Knicks win by at least 3 points, not just whether they win outright.
The title, "Spread: Knicks (-2.5)," means the Knicks are the favored side and must finish the game ahead by 3 or more points for this market to resolve to "Knicks." If they win by 1 or 2 points, lose, or the game ends tied, the market resolves to "Spurs" under the posted rules. The game is listed for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET, with the market set to resolve after the game is officially completed, and a canceled game with no makeup would resolve 50-50.
Point-spread markets focus on margin of victory rather than the simple winner, which creates a separate question even when one team is expected to be stronger. Knicks-Spurs matters here because the settlement depends on the final score margin, so a late basket, overtime, or a narrow finish can change the outcome even if the same team wins the game. The market is pricing disagreement about whether New York can clear a small spread in this specific matchup.
Anything that changes expected scoring margin can move the price, especially confirmed starters, late injury news, rest decisions, and last-minute lineup changes before tipoff. Because the market is tied to a single NBA game, in-game developments such as foul trouble, a star player leaving early, or a close fourth quarter can also shift sentiment quickly. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the rescheduled game is completed, while a true cancellation with no makeup would trigger the special 50-50 rule.
The current market price implies roughly a 49% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The key things to verify are the official game status, the confirmed final score, and whether any postponement or cancellation rule applies before settlement. Readers should rely on the completed game result for the June 8 NBA matchup and check whether the Knicks finished ahead by at least 3 points, because a 2-point win still resolves to "Spurs" here. The most important ambiguity risk is any schedule change: if the game is delayed, the market does not settle until the actual game is played; if it is canceled entirely with no makeup, the outcome is split 50-50 by rule.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-2.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 49%, $715.2 in 24h volume, and $9.9K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Knicks
48.5%
Spurs
51.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 49%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/6/2026
View market
