Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 46%, $262.8 in 24h volume, and $10.6K in liquidity.
Probability
46%
24h Volume
$262.8
Liquidity
$10.6K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
54.5%
Change
-2%
High
56.5%
Low
54.5%
Spurs moved from 56.5% to 54.5% over the last 6 hours, trading between 54.5% and 56.5%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
19 points
This market is about whether the New York Knicks will cover a 3.5-point spread in their upcoming NBA game against the Spurs on June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. In plain terms, the Knicks must win by 4 or more points for the Knicks side to resolve as the winner; any other result pushes the market to Spurs under the listed rules.
The title, "Spread: Knicks (-3.5)," refers to the standard NBA point spread for a single game between the Knicks and Spurs. The settlement rule is simple: if the Knicks win by 4 or more, the market resolves to "Knicks"; if they fail to do that, including a tie, it resolves to "Spurs." The listed resolution deadline is tied to the game scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET, with the market remaining open if the game is postponed and settling 50-50 only if the game is canceled with no make-up.
Point-spread markets are often tighter than straight win/loss markets because they ask not just who wins, but by how much. That makes game context matter: lineup changes, late scratches, rest decisions, and how competitive the matchup is expected to be can all affect whether a favorite clears a short number like 3.5 points. Readers following this page are usually trying to understand whether the Knicks can win comfortably enough for the spread to cash under the market rules.
Anything that changes expectations for the final margin can move this market, especially confirmed lineups, injuries, or rest-related absences for either team. Because the line is only 3.5 points, even small shifts in projected scoring or pace can matter, as can news about whether key starters are available. If the game becomes more or less likely to be close in the final minutes, that tends to push the market toward Spurs or Knicks respectively.
The current market price implies roughly a 46% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The most important thing to verify is the actual game result and margin, since the market settles only on whether the Knicks win by at least 4 points. Readers should also check whether the game is played as scheduled, postponed, or canceled, because the description gives specific rules for each case. If there is any ambiguity, the source of truth is the completed NBA game outcome and the market’s stated settlement terms, not pregame speculation or unofficial score reports.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 46%, $262.8 in 24h volume, and $10.6K in liquidity.
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Knicks
45.5%
Spurs
54.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 46%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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