Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-4.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 42%, $80 in 24h volume, and $5.4K in liquidity.
Probability
42%
24h Volume
$80
Liquidity
$5.4K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
58.5%
Change
0%
High
58.5%
Low
58.5%
Spurs moved from 58.5% to 58.5% over the last week, trading between 58.5% and 58.5%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
3 points
This market is about whether the New York Knicks will cover a 4.5-point spread in an upcoming NBA game against the Spurs. For readers, the key question is not just who wins, but whether the Knicks win by at least five points, which is the standard used to settle this page.
The title, "Spread: Knicks (-4.5)," means the Knicks are being asked to beat the Spurs by more than 4.5 points in the scheduled June 8 game at 8:30 PM ET. If New York wins by 5 or more, the market resolves to "Knicks"; if the Spurs win outright, or if the Knicks win by 4 or fewer, it resolves to "Spurs." A tied game also settles to "Spurs."
Point-spread markets are sensitive to the expected gap between the teams, not just the final winner, so even a close Knicks win counts against the Knicks side here. That creates uncertainty around game pace, late-game rotation decisions, and whether the matchup stays competitive enough to land inside the 4.5-point margin. The page is essentially pricing disagreement over whether New York can win comfortably enough to clear the line.
Anything that changes the expected margin can move this market: confirmed starters, late injury or rest news, a surprise lineup change, or an official announcement that a key player is unavailable. In-game scoring swings also matter if the market remains active around tipoff, since an early run or a back-and-forth first half can quickly shift expectations about whether the Knicks will cover. Because this is a spread market, a narrow Knicks lead late in the game is very different from a double-digit lead.
The current market price implies roughly a 42% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Check the official NBA game status first, since the description says postponed games stay open until played, while a canceled game with no makeup settles 50-50. The main settlement point is the final score after any overtime, because the Knicks need to win by at least five points to resolve this side. If you are following the market before tipoff, verify the scheduled start time, any lineup or availability reports, and whether the game is actually played on June 8 as listed.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-4.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 42%, $80 in 24h volume, and $5.4K in liquidity.
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Knicks
41.5%
Spurs
58.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 42%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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