Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-8.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 31%, and $4.8K in liquidity.
Probability
31%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$4.8K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
70%
Change
0%
High
71%
Low
68.5%
Spurs moved from 70% to 70% over the last 6 hours, trading between 68.5% and 71%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
15 points
This market is about whether the New York Knicks will win their June 8 NBA game by at least 9 points against the San Antonio Spurs. Because the line is set at Knicks -8.5, the exact final margin matters: a close Knicks win still resolves against the Knicks side.
The event is the upcoming NBA game scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET, with the market resolving on the final score of Knicks versus Spurs. It pays out to "Knicks" only if New York wins by 9 points or more; any Spurs win, a tie, or a Knicks win by 8 points or fewer resolves to "Spurs". The market’s deadline is tied to the game itself, and if the game is postponed it stays open until the game is played; if it is canceled with no makeup game, it resolves 50-50.
Point-spread markets focus on the margin of victory rather than just the winner, so the key question is not only who wins but by how much. Knicks-Spurs also brings together two named teams with very different scoring expectations, which makes a line like -8.5 worth watching for anyone tracking how strongly the market expects New York to control the game. The disagreement priced here is whether the Knicks can clear a fairly large margin or whether the Spurs can keep the result closer than the spread suggests.
Anything that changes expected game margin can move this market, especially lineup news, injuries, rest decisions, or late scratches for key players. In-game scoring runs matter too: if the Knicks build an early lead, the Knicks side can strengthen quickly, while a tight first half or a Spurs rally can push the market toward Spurs. Because the settlement depends on the final margin, even a late basket or garbage-time run can affect which side wins.
The current market price implies roughly a 31% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market resolves, readers should check the official final score and make sure the game is completed as scheduled or after any makeup date if postponed. The source of truth is the NBA result that matches this specific Knicks-Spurs game, not a projected line or unofficial score update. The main ambiguity to watch for is whether the game is delayed, postponed, or canceled, since the description gives special settlement rules for those cases.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-8.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 31%, and $4.8K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Knicks
30.5%
Spurs
69.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 31%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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