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Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$148.6K
Liquidity
$46.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?. The market currently shows a live probability of 33%, $57 in 24h volume, and $16K in liquidity.
Probability
33%
24h Volume
$57
Liquidity
$16K
This market asks whether Ostium’s token will be worth more than $300 million in fully diluted terms one day after it launches. It is a simple threshold question, but the answer depends on both the token being live and the market price at a specific time the next day.
Ostium is the named project, and the market is focused on its token launch rather than the product itself. For this page, a “launch” only counts once the token is actively, publicly transferable and tradable, and the key checkpoint is 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. The result is based on fully diluted valuation, meaning token price multiplied by total token supply, using the most liquid price source available at that time.
There is uncertainty because many token launches move sharply in the first 24 hours, and a project can cross a valuation threshold quickly or fall below it depending on market demand, supply expectations, and trading access. Readers watching this market are really asking whether Ostium will debut with enough early liquidity and demand to clear a $300 million FDV line by the next-day deadline. If Ostium never launches a token by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No under the rules.
The biggest price drivers here are concrete launch details: whether Ostium actually makes the token tradable, how much supply is revealed or circulating, and where the token trades immediately after launch. Any public announcement that clarifies launch timing, token economics, exchange or venue access, or early market depth could shift expectations for whether the next-day FDV stays above the $300 million mark. Because the resolution uses the most liquid price source, where the token trades and how liquid that venue is can matter a lot.
The current market price implies roughly a 33% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$148.6K
Liquidity
$46.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe main things to verify are the exact launch time, whether the token is truly transferable and tradable, and what time corresponds to 4:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. Readers should also check the token supply figure being used, since the FDV rule depends on total supply rather than just circulating supply, and they should note that the resolution source is the most liquid price source available. If the launch date is unclear or delayed, that affects the countdown to the December 31, 2026 fallback resolution as well.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?. The market currently shows a live probability of 33%, $57 in 24h volume, and $16K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
33%
No
67%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jan 1, 2027. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ostium's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ostium doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 33%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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