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0%
-0.2%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$149.6K
Liquidity
$61.3K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?. The market currently shows a live probability of 12%, $15.1K in 24h volume, and $6.1K in liquidity.
Probability
12%
24h Volume
$15.1K
Liquidity
$6.1K
This market asks whether Ostium’s token will reach a fully diluted valuation above $700 million one day after it launches. It is a simple milestone check on the token’s early market value, using the token’s total supply multiplied by its traded price at the specified time.
Ostium is the named project here, and the question is not whether it launches, but whether its token clears a $700 million FDV threshold one day later. The market defines launch as the moment the token becomes actively, publicly transferable and tradable, and it sets the checkpoint at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after that launch. If Ostium never launches a token by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No.
Early token launches can produce very different valuations depending on supply, initial demand, exchange access, and how tightly the market trades. A $700 million FDV is a specific benchmark that may be easy or hard to reach depending on how the token is structured and how buyers price it at launch. The uncertainty comes from both the timing of the launch and the price the token can sustain at the required snapshot.
The biggest driver is whether Ostium launches a token at all before the deadline, since no launch means an automatic No. If a launch does happen, the first listed price and the token’s immediate trading range around the one-day mark will matter because FDV is calculated from the live token price and total supply. Liquidity on the most liquid price source also matters, because the market resolves using that source rather than a project announcement or a community estimate.
The current market price implies roughly a 12% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.2%
24h Vol
$149.6K
Liquidity
$61.3K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketReaders should verify the exact launch moment, since the resolution clock starts from the time the token becomes publicly tradable, not from a teaser, snapshot, or announcement. The key resolution inputs are the total token supply, the token’s price on the most liquid source available, and the 4:00 PM ET reference time on the next calendar day. The main ambiguity risk is any dispute over whether the token was truly active and transferable, or which venue counts as the most liquid price source at resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?. The market currently shows a live probability of 12%, $15.1K in 24h volume, and $6.1K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
12.3%
No
87.7%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jan 1, 2027. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ostium's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ostium doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 12%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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