crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9?
24h Vol
$178.9K
Liquidity
$79.5K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Solana be above $10 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $5 in 24h volume, and $5.7K in liquidity.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$5.7K
This market asks whether Solana’s SOL/USDT price on Binance will be above $10 at the noon ET minute candle on June 12. Because the outcome hinges on one specific exchange, one trading pair, and one exact minute, it is more precise than a general “where will SOL trade that day” question.
The event here is a price check on Binance’s SOL/USDT market, using the 1-minute candle whose timestamp is 12:00 in Eastern Time on the date named in the title. The market resolves "Yes" if that candle’s final Close price is higher than $10; otherwise it resolves "No." Readers should note that the source of truth is Binance’s own candlestick data, not the price on other exchanges, spot markets, or derivatives.
Solana is one of the better-known crypto assets, so even small wording differences can matter when a market pins the result to a single exchange feed and a single minute. The uncertainty in this market is not about Solana’s long-term role, but about whether the Binance SOL/USDT close at that exact moment lands above the stated threshold. That makes source selection, timestamp handling, and price precision the key points of disagreement.
For a market like this, the most important drivers are whatever moves SOL/USDT on Binance close to the deadline: broad crypto volatility, Solana-specific news, large market selloffs or rallies, and any exchange-wide dislocation around the candle time. Because the check is a one-minute Close price, brief spikes or drops near 12:00 ET can matter more than the broader day’s trend. A sharp move in Bitcoin or the wider crypto market could also spill over into SOL and change the outcome.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$178.9K
Liquidity
$79.5K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketBefore resolution, the main thing to verify is the exact Binance candle and the exact interpretation of 12:00 ET on June 12, 2026. The market rules say to use the SOL/USDT 1-minute Candles view on Binance and the final Close for that minute, so readers should not rely on other exchanges or a different time window. Any ambiguity is likely to come from timezone conversion, the minute boundary, or how the Binance chart displays the Close value, so those details matter most right up to the deadline.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Solana be above $10 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $5 in 24h volume, and $5.7K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
99.6%
No
0.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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