crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9?
24h Vol
$178.9K
Liquidity
$79.5K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, and $4.8K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$4.8K
This market asks a very specific question about Solana’s Binance price on June 12: will the SOL/USDT 1-minute candle ending at 12:00 p.m. ET close above $100? Because the outcome is tied to a single exchange, a single trading pair, and a single minute, the result can differ from what Solana is doing on other venues or over longer time frames.
The title points to Solana, the major crypto asset often traded as SOL, and a fixed date: June 12, 2026. Resolution depends on the Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET on that date, using the candle’s final "Close" price; if that close is higher than $100, the market resolves Yes, otherwise No. The end date shown on the market aligns with that June 12 resolution window, so readers should focus on the exact noon ET candle rather than the day’s average price.
This market captures uncertainty around whether SOL can hold a round-number level at a precise moment, which is a different question from where the token trades most of the day. A $100 threshold is easy to watch and often serves as a psychological price level, but the market’s rules make the reference point unusually strict, so even small intraday moves can decide the outcome. The disagreement priced here is not about Solana’s broader trend alone, but about whether Binance’s noon ET snapshot on that date lands above the line.
The most direct drivers are any Solana-specific announcements, exchange-related changes, or broader crypto moves that affect SOL/USDT around the deadline. Because the market resolves on a Binance minute candle, sharp short-lived volatility, a quick break above or below $100, or even a fast reversal right before noon ET can matter more than the rest of the day’s action. Changes in market structure, liquidity on Binance, or unusually busy trading in SOL can also affect the closing print that determines the result.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$178.9K
Liquidity
$79.5K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, the key item to verify is the exact source of truth: Binance’s SOL/USDT candles with the 1m interval, specifically the 12:00 ET candle on June 12. Readers should check that they are looking at the "Close" price for that minute, not a different exchange, not a different timestamp, and not a different pricing pair such as SOL/USD or SOL/BTC. The main ambiguity risk is time conversion, since the market uses ET while Binance’s interface and candle timing can be easy to misread; the final call rests on that precise candle close and the stated $100 threshold.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, and $4.8K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
2.2%
No
97.8%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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