crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
100%
+2.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9?
24h Vol
$178.8K
Liquidity
$79.8K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Solana be above $30 on June 9?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $9.8 in 24h volume, and $7.4K in liquidity.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$9.8
Liquidity
$7.4K
This market asks a very specific question about Solana’s price at a set moment on June 9: will the Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 ET close above $30? Because the resolution depends on one exchange, one trading pair, and one exact minute, even small moves around that time can matter. The market is currently priced very close to a full yes, with the no side trading at a tiny residual bid.
The underlying event is whether SOL, the native token of the Solana network, trades above the $30 mark on Binance at noon Eastern Time on the date named in the title. According to the rules, the outcome is not based on an average price, a daily close, or prices on other exchanges; it is based only on the 1-minute candle's final 'Close' for SOL/USDT on Binance. The market resolves 'Yes' only if that closing price is higher than $30; otherwise it resolves 'No'.
A price-threshold market like this can turn on short-term volatility, liquidity, and timing rather than a broad view of Solana’s longer-term fundamentals. Traders may disagree about whether SOL will remain above a round-number level at the exact resolution time, especially when the cutoff is just one minute and one exchange feed. The disagreement being priced here is not about Solana’s general direction alone, but about whether it can hold that specific level at that specific timestamp.
Any move in SOL/USDT around the noon ET candle on Binance can change the outcome, especially if the token is trading near $30 as the resolution time approaches. Market-moving factors specific to Solana can include exchange or protocol announcements, activity around the broader crypto market, and sharp swings in risk appetite that push SOL across a round-number level. Because the market uses Binance’s own candle data, changes in Binance liquidity or short-lived spikes on that venue matter more than prices elsewhere.
Related markets
+2.1%
24h Vol
$178.8K
Liquidity
$79.8K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check the exact resolution rule: the deciding data point is Binance’s SOL/USDT 1-minute candle with the 12:00 ET close on June 9, not another exchange, not a different timezone, and not a later daily close. The main source of truth is the Binance candles page for SOL/USDT with 1m selected, and the market will hinge on the final closing print for that minute. The biggest ambiguity risk is confusing the round-number target with a broader price range, so the key is whether that one candle closes strictly above $30.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Solana be above $30 on June 9?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $9.8 in 24h volume, and $7.4K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
100%
No
0.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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