crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
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Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
24h Vol
$174.7K
Liquidity
$54.1K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Solana be above $40 on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $96 in 24h volume, and $6.7K in liquidity.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$96
Liquidity
$6.7K
This market asks a very specific price question about Solana: whether SOL/USDT on Binance will close above $40 in the 12:00 p.m. ET one-minute candle on June 7, 2026. Because the outcome is tied to a single exchange, a single trading pair, and a single minute, the exact pricing source matters as much as the headline number.
The title is about Solana, the crypto asset commonly traded as SOL, and the threshold is $40. Resolution depends on the Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 ET on the date in the title, using the candle’s final "Close" price; if that close is higher than $40, the market resolves Yes, otherwise No. The end time shown for the market is 2026-06-07 16:00:00 UTC, which corresponds to noon in Eastern Time.
A market like this exists because even a round-number level such as $40 can be uncertain at a specific moment, especially in a fast-moving crypto market. Traders and observers may disagree not just on Solana’s broader direction, but on whether the price will be above or below the threshold at one precise timestamp. Here, the disagreement is not about average price over the day; it is about the exact Binance close printed for one minute.
Anything that changes SOL/USDT trading on Binance before the noon ET candle can affect the outcome, including a sharp move in Solana itself, a broader crypto rally or selloff, or a burst of volume around that exact time. Because the rule uses a single candle close, brief spikes, thin liquidity, or a fast reversal in that minute can matter more than the broader trend. The market can also be influenced by how Binance’s own order flow and spread behave near the timestamp, since the source is the exchange candle rather than an index or cross-exchange average.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.2%
24h Vol
$174.7K
Liquidity
$54.1K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is the source and the timestamp: Binance, SOL/USDT, 1-minute candles, and the 12:00 ET candle on June 7, 2026. Readers should check the final "Close" value on Binance’s candlestick view, not prices from other exchanges, other pairs, or later minute candles. The main ambiguity risk is confusing the date or time zone, so it is worth confirming that noon Eastern Time matches the intended resolution minute and that the close is compared strictly against $40 using Binance’s decimal precision.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Solana be above $40 on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $96 in 24h volume, and $6.7K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
99.9%
No
0.2%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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