crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9?
24h Vol
$178.9K
Liquidity
$79.5K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 97%, $440 in 24h volume, and $4.8K in liquidity.
Probability
97%
24h Volume
$440
Liquidity
$4.8K
This market asks whether Solana’s SOL/USDT price on Binance will close above $50 on June 12 at the specified noon ET 1-minute candle. It is a simple price-threshold question, but the answer depends on one exact exchange, one exact trading pair, and one exact candle close. Because of that, the market is about the official Binance reading rather than Solana’s price elsewhere.
The event is tied to SOL, the native token of the Solana network, and the threshold is $50. Resolution is based only on Binance’s SOL/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET on the date in the title, using the candle’s final Close price. If that Close is higher than $50, the market resolves Yes; if it is $50 or lower, it resolves No.
Solana is a widely traded crypto asset, so a round-number level like $50 can attract attention as a milestone market participants watch. The uncertainty here is not whether Solana exists or trades broadly, but whether the Binance spot price at one specific minute will finish above a fixed cutoff on a fixed date. That leaves room for disagreement over short-term momentum, volatility, and whether the price can hold above the line through the exact resolution window.
Moves in SOL/USDT on Binance are the only thing that matters for settlement, so changes in broader crypto sentiment, Solana-specific news, or sharp intraday volatility can all affect this market if they push the 12:00 ET candle above or below $50. Because the threshold is close to a round number, even a brief spike or dip around the minute of resolution can be decisive. The live market signal here is already heavily tilted toward Yes, which suggests traders expect the cutoff to be cleared, but the final candle still controls the outcome.
The current market price implies roughly a 97% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$178.9K
Liquidity
$79.5K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketReaders should check the market rules closely: the source of truth is Binance, the pair is SOL/USDT, the timeframe is 1 minute, and the settlement point is the candle labeled 12:00 ET on the date in the title. Do not use other exchanges, other pairs, or a different timestamp, since none of those determine resolution. The main ambiguity risk is simple but important: the market turns on Binance’s final candle Close, so the exact price at that minute matters more than any earlier high, low, or external quote.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 97%, $440 in 24h volume, and $4.8K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
97.1%
No
2.9%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 97%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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