crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?
24h Vol
$323.3K
Liquidity
$131.3K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 8?. The market currently shows a live probability of 98%, $1.7K in 24h volume, and $16.5K in liquidity.
Probability
98%
24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$16.5K
Current
98.4%
Change
+45.9%
High
99.6%
Low
52.5%
Yes moved from 52.5% to 98.4% over the full available history, trading between 52.5% and 99.6%.
Yes price history from Polymarket CLOB.
25 points
This market asks whether Solana’s SOL/USDT price on Binance will finish a specific one-minute candle above $50 at noon ET on June 8. The key detail is that the settlement uses Binance’s own spot market data, so the outcome depends on that exchange’s candle, not on a broader average across crypto platforms.
The question is narrowly defined: will the Binance 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT at 12:00 ET on the date in the title close above $50? If that candle’s final Close price is higher than $50, the market resolves to Yes; if it is $50 or below, it resolves to No. The deadline is tied to the June 8 candle time, and the official source of truth is the SOL/USDT chart on Binance with 1m candles selected.
SOL is one of the largest crypto assets by market attention, so a single price threshold can draw interest from traders watching momentum, volatility, and round-number levels. The uncertainty here is not about Solana’s long-term direction, but about whether Binance’s one-minute print at a fixed time lands above a precise cutoff. Because the rule uses one exchange and one candle, even a brief move around the minute boundary can decide the result.
The most direct drivers are SOL price swings on Binance in the hours and minutes leading up to noon ET, especially if the market is hovering near $50. Broader crypto market moves, Bitcoin-led volatility, exchange-specific trading activity on SOL/USDT, and any Solana ecosystem news that reaches the market before the cutoff can all affect whether that candle closes above the line. Since the settlement is based on a one-minute close, a fast wick or a late reversal in that exact minute matters more than the day’s average price.
The current market price implies roughly a 98% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$323.3K
Liquidity
$131.3K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketReaders should check Binance’s SOL/USDT 1m candles and confirm the platform is showing the noon ET candle for June 8, since the market settles only on that specific Close value. It is also important to verify that the price being referenced is Binance SOL/USDT, not SOL priced on another exchange, another pair, or a different timeframe. The main ambiguity risk is timestamp alignment, so the decisive question is whether the 12:00 ET candle’s final close is strictly above $50 or not.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 8?. The market currently shows a live probability of 98%, $1.7K in 24h volume, and $16.5K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
98.4%
No
1.7%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 98%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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