crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
100%
+2.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9?
24h Vol
$178.8K
Liquidity
$79.8K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $60 in 24h volume, and $6.2K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$60
Liquidity
$6.2K
This market asks whether Solana’s SOL/USDT price on Binance will close above $90 on June 12, using a very specific one-minute candle at noon Eastern Time. Because the cutoff is tied to a single exchange and a single minute, even small price moves around that moment matter. That makes this a narrower question than simply asking where SOL trades sometime during the day.
The event is a price check on Binance’s SOL/USDT market, not on Solana’s price across all exchanges. The market resolves "Yes" only if the 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET on June 12 has a final Close above $90; otherwise it resolves "No." The end date shown on the market is June 12, 2026, and the source of truth is the Binance candle data on the SOL/USDT chart with 1m candles selected.
SOL is a large-cap crypto asset, but its price can differ across exchanges and can move quickly around a specific time slice. The uncertainty here is not about Solana’s long-term value so much as whether Binance’s quoted price crosses a round-number threshold at one exact minute. Traders following this market are effectively pricing the chance of a brief, exchange-specific move rather than a broad market trend.
The biggest drivers are any SOL-specific or crypto-wide moves that push Binance’s SOL/USDT price toward or away from $90 as June 12 approaches. News about Solana ecosystem developments, exchange flows, broader market sentiment, or a sharp BTC-led move could all matter if they affect the spot price around noon ET. Because the resolution uses a single candle, a short-lived spike or drop near that minute can be more important than where SOL trades before or after.
The current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+2.1%
24h Vol
$178.8K
Liquidity
$79.8K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketReaders should verify the exact resolution rule: Binance SOL/USDT, 1-minute candles, and the 12:00 ET candle on the date in the title. The key source is the Binance chart itself, and other exchanges, perpetual futures, or different time zones do not decide the outcome. If there is any ambiguity, it will likely come from how the candle’s final Close is recorded or whether the specified minute is interpreted exactly in Eastern Time, so that is the detail to check most carefully.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $60 in 24h volume, and $6.2K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
1.9%
No
98.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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