
+0.3%
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
24h Vol
$672K
Liquidity
$17.8K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $2.1K in 24h volume, and $2.4K in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$2.1K
Liquidity
$2.4K
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $2.1K in 24h volume, and $2.4K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Up
50%
Down
50%
Polymarket has not provided a clear end date for this market yet.
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange. The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
Related markets

+0.3%
24h Vol
$672K
Liquidity
$17.8K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketProbability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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