
+4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
24h Vol
$53.3K
Liquidity
$56.1K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 8?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $53.9 in 24h volume, and $4.9K in liquidity.
Probability
3%
24h Volume
$53.9
Liquidity
$4.9K
This market asks whether the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, ticker SPY, will finish the June 8, 2026 U.S. trading session above $760. SPY is one of the most widely watched exchange-traded funds because it closely tracks the S&P 500, so even a single-day close here is tied to broad-market sentiment rather than one company’s news.
The question is narrowly defined: on June 8, 2026, will SPY’s closing price be higher than $760? The market resolves using the Pyth “Close” value for the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, with the usual fallback rules if that exact Pyth value is unavailable. If SPY does not trade on that date, or if the date is not a trading day under Pyth’s schedule, the market resolves 50-50.
A level like $760 is a clean threshold market because small changes in the ETF’s daily move can flip the answer. Traders and readers may care because SPY is a proxy for the broader U.S. stock market, and a close above a round number can reflect whether equities are finishing the day strong enough to clear a specific bar.
The main drivers are anything that changes the ETF’s late-day trading level: broad index moves, major macro headlines before the close, and any sharp shift in risk appetite during regular hours. Because the outcome is a threshold close, price action in the final minutes matters more than intraday highs or lows; a late push above $760 would help the Yes side, while a finish below that level keeps No in control.
The current market price implies roughly a 3% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

+4%
24h Vol
$53.3K
Liquidity
$56.1K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should verify the exact threshold, the trading date, and the resolution source: Pyth’s published 1-minute Close for the final regular-trading minute, with the official exchange close used only if Pyth has a technical failure. It also matters that the market uses the published closing value exactly as stated, without rounding, and that an equal price resolves to No. Since the page is tied to June 8, 2026, the key check is whether that date is a valid trading day and whether SPY has a normal regular-session close.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 8?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $53.9 in 24h volume, and $4.9K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
2.9%
No
97.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on June 8, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 3%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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