Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card). The market currently shows a live probability of 20%, $295K in 24h volume, and $314.9K in liquidity.
Probability
20%
24h Volume
$295K
Liquidity
$314.9K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
19.5%
Change
+3%
High
20%
Low
15.5%
Justin Gaethje moved from 16.5% to 19.5% over the last month, trading between 15.5% and 20%.
Justin Gaethje price history from Polymarket CLOB.
56 points
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card). The market currently shows a live probability of 20%, $295K in 24h volume, and $314.9K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Justin Gaethje
19.5%
Ilia Topuria
80.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Justin Gaethje" if Justin Gaethje is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Ilia Topuria" if Ilia Topuria is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Related markets
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 20%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
View market