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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-3.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 100%.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
90%
Change
0%
High
90%
Low
90%
Global Esports moved from 90% to 90% over the last month, trading between 90% and 90%.
Global Esports price history from Polymarket CLOB.
1 points
This market is about the opening map of a VCT Masters London Group Stage match between Global Esports and Leviatán Esports. It focuses only on the Map 1 round margin, so it can resolve one way even if the map winner or the overall match turns out differently.
The question is whether Global Esports will win Map 1 by at least 4 rounds in the Valorant match scheduled for June 7 at 12:00 PM ET. If Global wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including overtime, the market resolves to Global Esports; otherwise it resolves to Leviatán Esports. The key point is that this is a handicap on the first map only, not a bet on the match winner.
A map handicap creates more uncertainty than a simple match-winner market because it depends on the size of the final round gap, not just which team edges out the map. In a best-of series like this, teams can win or lose a map by very different margins depending on pistol rounds, economy swings, and how competitive the map draft is. That is why the market is pricing whether Global can create a comfortable Map 1 lead or whether Leviatán can keep the map closer than four rounds.
Anything that changes the expected shape of Map 1 can move this market, especially roster or role changes, last-minute substitutions, map veto information, and how each team tends to perform on the selected map. In Valorant, patch adjustments, agent pool trends, and team-specific comfort on certain maps often matter as much as overall match strength because a single map can swing sharply. If the match starts and Map 1 becomes lopsided early, the live price can move quickly because the outcome depends on the final round differential.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketReaders should verify that Map 1 is actually played to completion and that the final round score is posted officially, since a forfeit, default, cancellation, or incomplete map forces a 50-50 resolution under the rules. The stated source of truth is vlr.gg, so the final Map 1 round score there is what matters if the match goes ahead normally. Also note that the market is independent of the rest of the series, so later maps do not change the result once Map 1 is completed.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-3.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 100%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Global Esports
100%
Leviatán Esports
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Valorant match between Global Esports and Leviatán Esports in the VCT Masters London Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 7 at 12:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Global Esports" if Global Esports wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Global Esports's round total on Map 1 exceeds Leviatán Esports's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Leviatán Esports". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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