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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-4.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+4.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 100%.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific question about the first map in a VCT Masters London Group Stage match: can Global Esports cover a 4.5-round handicap on Map 1 against Leviatán Esports? Because the outcome is based only on Map 1’s final round score, it is separate from who wins the map or the match overall. It is worth watching for anyone following Valorant series pricing, especially when one map can swing sharply based on side selection, pistol rounds, and overtime.
The event is the Valorant match between Global Esports and Leviatán Esports at VCT Masters London Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 7 at 12:00 PM ET. The market resolves to Global Esports only if they win Map 1 by 5 or more rounds, counting overtime if it happens; otherwise it resolves to Leviatán Esports. If Map 1 is not completed by rounds actually played, or if the match is decided by forfeit, walkover, default, cancellation, or a long delay without Map 1 finishing, the market resolves 50-50 under the rules.
A 4.5-round handicap is a narrow margin in Valorant, so small swings in economy, map vetoes, and early momentum can change the result even when the overall match looks close. Global Esports and Leviatán Esports are established teams in the VCT ecosystem, which makes Map 1 scoring a separate question from the broader match narrative. The disagreement here is not just who is stronger overall, but whether the opening map will be a blowout or stay within a few rounds.
Any confirmed change to the starting lineup, a map veto that strongly favors one team, or news that affects the opening map’s competitiveness can move this market quickly. Because the rule is tied only to Map 1 round differential, a fast start, dominant attacking half, or an overtime-prone map pool matters more here than the eventual series winner. If official results on vlr.gg show Map 1 completed with a five-round gap or more, that will determine the outcome regardless of what happens later in the match.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, check that Map 1 was actually played to completion and that the final round score is posted by the official source of record, vlr.gg. The most important ambiguity is whether the map ended normally by rounds played or was interrupted by a forfeit, default, cancellation, or another non-standard finish, because those cases trigger a 50-50 resolution instead of a team result. Also watch the scheduled start time and the seven-day delay rule, since the market stays unresolved if the match is pushed too far beyond the original date without Map 1 being completed.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-4.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+4.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 100%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Global Esports
100%
Leviatán Esports
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Valorant match between Global Esports and Leviatán Esports in the VCT Masters London Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 7 at 12:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Global Esports" if Global Esports wins Map 1 by 5 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Global Esports's round total on Map 1 exceeds Leviatán Esports's by 5 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Leviatán Esports". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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