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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-5.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+5.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 100%.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
99.5%
Change
+49.5%
High
99.5%
Low
50%
Global Esports moved from 50% to 99.5% over the last day, trading between 50% and 99.5%.
Global Esports price history from Polymarket CLOB.
5 points
This market is about the first map of a Valorant match between Global Esports and Leviatán Esports at VCT Masters London’s Group Stage, scheduled for June 7 at 12:00 PM ET. The key detail is not who wins the match, but whether Global Esports can win Map 1 by six or more rounds, which makes the round handicap the entire basis of settlement.
The title sets a Map 1 rounds handicap of Global Esports (-5.5) versus Leviatán Esports (+5.5). Under the rules, Global Esports must win the first map by at least six rounds for the market to resolve to Global Esports; any smaller margin, including a narrow win, a loss, or an overtime win by less than six, resolves to Leviatán Esports. Because this is tied only to Map 1, the rest of the series does not matter once the first map has been played to a final round score.
Handicap markets like this focus on margin, not just the winner, so they capture a different question than a simple match-winner market. In Valorant, map margins can swing on pistol rounds, economy control, side selection, overtime, and how well each team adapts to the map pool and patch environment at an event like Masters. That is why a match between Global Esports and Leviatán can still leave real uncertainty about whether the first map ends as a close contest or a comfortable win.
The biggest price mover is whether either team fielded a changed roster, different starting five, or substitute compared with what viewers expected for the Group Stage. Map and veto information can matter too, since some teams are much stronger on specific maps, and a favorable or unfavorable Map 1 pick can change the likelihood of a six-round cover. In-play, early momentum, pistol-round results, and economy snowballs are especially relevant for a -5.5 handicap because a map that stays close for most of the game may still fail to clear the margin even if one side wins outright.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Check that Map 1 is actually completed to a final round score, because the rules send any unplayed, forfeited, defaulted, or incomplete map to a 50-50 resolution. The official source of truth is vlr.gg, so the final Map 1 score there is what matters if there is any discrepancy. Readers should also watch for delays or cancellations around the scheduled June 7 start time, since a match delayed beyond seven days without a completed Map 1 also resolves 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-5.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+5.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 100%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Global Esports
100%
Leviatán Esports
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Valorant match between Global Esports and Leviatán Esports in the VCT Masters London Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 7 at 12:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Global Esports" if Global Esports wins Map 1 by 6 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Global Esports's round total on Map 1 exceeds Leviatán Esports's by 6 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Leviatán Esports". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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