
+2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
24h Vol
$41.5K
Liquidity
$51.6K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $256 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $91.2 in 24h volume, and $608.5 in liquidity.
Probability
4%
24h Volume
$91.2
Liquidity
$608.5
This market asks whether Apple’s stock, AAPL, will trade low enough during June 2026 for a one-minute candle to print a low of $256 or less. Because it is tied to a specific intramonth price threshold, even a brief dip during regular trading hours matters, not just where the stock finishes the month. The live market is pricing this as a relatively unlikely event, but the answer can still turn on a single sharp move.
The question is simple: will any 1-minute candle for Apple during June 2026 show a published Low price at or below $256? The resolution uses Pyth’s Apple (AAPL) USD data and only counts regular trading hours on the primary exchange, so pre-market and after-hours moves do not qualify. If Apple has a stock split or similar corporate action during the period, both the price target and the historical data are adjusted on a split-adjusted basis.
Apple is one of the most heavily watched U.S. stocks, so a specific downside threshold like $256 can become meaningful for traders, option markets, and anyone tracking whether the shares stay above a round price level. The uncertainty here is about intramonth volatility: even a strong company can briefly fall through a level on a weak day, while steady trading can keep it well above the target. The market is effectively pricing the disagreement over whether June 2026 will include a short-lived selloff deep enough to hit that floor.
The main price-moving events are Apple-specific earnings, guidance, product launches, and any company filings or announcements that change expectations about growth, margins, or demand. Broader market shocks also matter because Apple can move with the Nasdaq and large-cap tech more generally, especially on days when risk appetite weakens. Since the rule depends on a one-minute low, a brief spike lower on heavy selling can be enough to resolve the market Yes even if the stock later recovers.
Related markets

+2%
24h Vol
$41.5K
Liquidity
$51.6K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 4% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before June ends, readers should verify the exact threshold, the June 2026 window, and that only regular trading hours count under the market rules. The source of truth is Pyth’s 1-minute AAPL Low data, so the relevant question is whether any published candle at any point in the month shows $256 or below after any split adjustment. Ambiguity usually comes from corporate actions or from checking the wrong session, so the safest approach is to use the adjusted Pyth chart and confirm the candle timestamp falls inside normal market hours.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $256 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $91.2 in 24h volume, and $608.5 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
3.8%
No
96.3%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during June 2026, any 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 4%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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