
+2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
24h Vol
$41.5K
Liquidity
$51.6K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 12%, $24.8 in 24h volume, and $214.9 in liquidity.
Probability
12%
24h Volume
$24.8
Liquidity
$214.9
This market asks whether Apple’s stock will trade down to a 1-minute low of $264 at any point during June 2026, using the Pyth feed as the source. It is a narrow price-threshold question, so the key issue is not where AAPL ends the month, but whether regular-session trading ever touches that level on an adjusted, minute-by-minute basis.
The event centers on Apple Inc. (AAPL), one of the most closely watched large-cap U.S. stocks, and the specific threshold is $264 in June 2026. Resolution is based on whether any 1-minute candle during regular trading hours on the primary exchange shows a final Low price equal to or below $264, with no credit given for pre-market or after-hours moves. The market ends at the close of June 2026, and the resolution source is Pyth’s Apple equity price page with 1-minute candles.
There is real uncertainty around whether AAPL will ever trade down to that exact level within the month, even if the stock stays far from it most of the time. Traders may disagree about how much downside Apple could see from broader market swings, earnings-related moves, or sector rotation, and this market isolates one precise threshold rather than a broad price range.
Apple earnings, guidance, and commentary on iPhone demand, services growth, or margins can quickly change expectations for the stock’s trading range. Broader moves in mega-cap technology, shifts in U.S. rates, or large market selloffs could also push AAPL toward or away from the $264 threshold. Because the rule keys off a one-minute low during regular hours, a sharp intraday dip matters even if the stock rebounds by the close.
The current market price implies roughly a 12% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

+2%
24h Vol
$41.5K
Liquidity
$51.6K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should check the exact rule that the trigger is a 1-minute Low at or below $264, measured only during regular trading hours and only from Pyth’s published data. The market also says split-adjusted prices will be used if Apple has a stock split or similar corporate action before the deadline, so the threshold could be adjusted if that happens. The main ambiguity to watch for is not the closing price, but whether any qualifying minute during June 2026 satisfies the low-price condition on the official Pyth chart.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 12%, $24.8 in 24h volume, and $214.9 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
12%
No
88%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during June 2026, any 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 12%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

--
24h Vol
$41.3K
Liquidity
$237.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
-1.9%
24h Vol
$76.4K
Liquidity
$123.8K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market
-0.1%
24h Vol
$77K
Liquidity
$82.1K
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$38.8K
Liquidity
$42.4K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market
-0.1%
24h Vol
$27.2K
Liquidity
$50.6K
Spread
0%
Live
View market