
+2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
24h Vol
$41.5K
Liquidity
$51.6K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $272 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 17%, $70 in 24h volume, and $304.6 in liquidity.
Probability
17%
24h Volume
$70
Liquidity
$304.6
This market asks whether Apple’s stock will trade down to a very specific intraday low of $272 during June 2026. Because the rule is tied to minute-by-minute Pyth data rather than a closing price, the question is less about where AAPL finishes the month and more about whether it ever touches that level in regular trading hours.
The outcome depends on Apple Inc. (ticker: AAPL) and the listed threshold of $272, with resolution limited to June 2026. A Yes result requires at least one 1-minute candle during regular U.S. market hours to show a final Low price at or below $272, using Pyth’s AAPL/USD data exactly as published and without rounding. Pre-market and after-hours trading do not count, and any stock split or similar corporate action would be handled through split-adjusted prices on Pyth.
Apple is one of the most closely watched U.S. companies, so small moves in its share price can attract attention when a market is set around a precise downside level. The disagreement here is not about Apple’s long-term business, but about whether ordinary trading during June will produce a brief dip to this threshold. The current market prices suggest traders see that touch as possible but not the most likely outcome.
The price can move quickly on Apple-specific catalysts such as earnings-related anticipation, product or demand headlines, large analyst revisions, or broader shifts in sentiment toward mega-cap technology stocks. Because the rule is based on an intraday low, even a short-lived selloff during regular hours can matter more than the day’s closing price. Any stock split or other corporate action would also be important because the target would be adjusted proportionally under the market rules.
The current market price implies roughly a 17% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

+2%
24h Vol
$41.5K
Liquidity
$51.6K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should verify the exact June 2026 trading window and remember that only regular-session candles on the primary exchange count. The source of truth is Pyth’s Apple AAPL/USD page with 1-minute candles, so the key question is whether any candle in that month shows a Low at or below $272 after any required split adjustment. Since the market resolves from published historical candle data, the main ambiguity risk is not the month-end price, but whether a qualifying intraday low ever appears in the official feed.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $272 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 17%, $70 in 24h volume, and $304.6 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
16.5%
No
83.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during June 2026, any 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 17%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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